Are We Bullish Enough? (Redux)
This article appears as part of Casey Weade's Weekend Reading for Retirees series. Every Friday, Casey highlights four hand-picked articles on trending retirement topics and delivers them straight to your email inbox. Get on the list here.
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Weekend Reading
In 2020, author Maggiulli predicted the S&P 500 could grow 4X by 2030 based on historical trends. Is it possible?
READ THE ARTICLEWhat to know: While this seems ambitious, analysis shows that similar past market periods saw significant growth. However, adjusting for inflation, real returns are likely closer to 1.75x-2.75x. Updated data (2005-2024) suggests future returns may be lower than initially predicted but still positive, with historical patterns indicating 25 percent to 100 percent real growth over the next decade.
Remember: Despite what past trends say, market uncertainty is constant. If you have a personalized retirement strategy built for the long-term, however, you’ve taken the biggest step to know your savings are safeguarded regardless of what happens.