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The Oldest Bad Joke on Wall Street

This article appears as part of Casey Weade's Weekend Reading for Retirees series. Every Friday, Casey highlights four hand-picked articles on trending retirement topics and delivers them straight to your email inbox. Get on the list here.
Weekend reading 2025 market predictions Weekend reading 2025 market predictions

Weekend Reading

It’s that time of year again; the time when you will inevitably see an influx of market predictions for the months to come.

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What You Should Know: Despite what the media might try to tell you, one-year stock market predictions are inherently flawed and contrary to the principles of long-term investing. Higher potential rewards, like those from stocks, come with greater uncertainty. This volatility makes stocks unsuitable for short-term predictions and ideal only for long-term financial goals.

Further, Wall Street analysts often follow a herd mentality. Their predictions commonly cluster in a narrow range to avoid standing out and risking reputational harm. These forecasts are frequently inaccurate, with actual market performance often falling outside the predicted ranges.

The Conclusion is Clear: You—nor expert analysts—can 100 percent predict short-term stock performance, and that's okay. Sound financial planning should focus on your long-term goals rather than the uncertainty of any single year.